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Track Record
Published Research · Price Return

This is the price-return of every positive-conviction note we have published, measured against two broad benchmarks from each position's own entry date. Each position is one equal unit. The record is the research, not a model portfolio.

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Performance

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Otto researchequal-weight, published notes
Russell 3000all-cap benchmark (IWV)
Russell 2000small-cap risk check (IWM)

The Russell 3000 is the primary comparison. Its all-cap breadth matches the research, which runs from mega-cap compute down to micro-cap frontier and space names. The Russell 2000 rides alongside as the small-cap risk check. Both are price-return ETF proxies, so the comparison is like-for-like with our own price-return line.

Positions

TickerCompanyVerdict tierConvictionEntry dateEntry price
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Method

Entry is the report-date close, the as-of close stated in each note. Nothing is backdated. We measure price return only, for the research and for the benchmarks, with no dividends, so the comparison stays consistent. The Otto line is equal-weight: each position counts as one equal unit from its own entry date. Each benchmark is anchored to that same entry date, so every window is like-for-like.

This record begins on its inception date and is early. The position count is small, so a few names move the line. The record fills in as time passes and as new qualifying research publishes. Verdict tier and conviction shown here are a historical attribute of an already-published note. They are not a live call.

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